This project uses the National Election Forecast Index (NEFI), a composite model that blends expert analysis, polling averages, voter registration trends, and historical voting behavior to estimate the probability of electoral outcomes.
NEFI considers both national and state-specific dynamics and is updated monthly with the latest political, economic, and turnout data. The projections aim to reflect what would happen if the election were held today.
Last Updated: June 2025
Next Expected Update: July 2025
Use the pages section below every page to explore forecasts for the Presidential race, party nominees, Senate, and House control